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XPL: Trend-Continuation Long Setup

Reading time: 3 min
XPL: Trend-Continuation Long Setup

A good example of when you look for mid-term ideas but end up finding an excellent intraday trade. It all started with observing a strong uptrend on the 1H timeframe. Special attention was paid to how price reacted to selling: the sells did not trigger a deep correction, which often points to buyer strength. A detailed 15M analysis and confirmation with aggregated metrics helped identify an entry with strong risk/reward potential.

Sometimes you’re looking for a mid-term idea, but the market delivers a great intraday trade. In this XPL case, the key signal was simple: market sells were present, but they didn’t produce a pullback. When selling pressure exists without a meaningful result, it often indicates absorption and buyer strength. From there, two steps remain: refine the entry on a lower timeframe and confirm the idea with aggregated metrics.

1H context: why the idea stood out

On the 1H timeframe, XPL was in a strong uptrend (green arrow). The cluster view shows an active buyer (green rectangles) and fresh local highs.

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The key point is the reaction to selling (red arrows): selling does not lead to a meaningful price drop. This is a sign of selling inefficiency—volume “pushes,” but price does not deliver a strong pullback.

The logic for the next step is straightforward: if selling can’t push price down on the higher timeframe, the lower timeframe often offers a clean long entry structure (range/holding).

15M entry: range holding after the pullback

On 15M, after a small pullback, price moves sideways (blue rectangle). Inside the range, selling is visible again, but it fails to print new local lows (green arrows).

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This type of holding most often means that limit demand continues to absorb market sells. The probability of an upside break increases.

Where to enter: after the hold is confirmed (price stays within the range and attempts to push lower fail to produce results).

Where to place the stop: below the lower boundary of the range / below the local 15M low. This makes risk clear and capped.

Confirmation via aggregated metrics (dashboard)

To strengthen the trade idea, we look at aggregated metrics.

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Delta / volume balance: on an aggregated view, substantial selling dominates, yet price does not fall. This reinforces the idea: the seller is active but inefficient—meaning demand is absorbing supply.

Exit reasons and position management

From the moment the idea was identified, the coin moved up by almost 7% (a strong intraday move).

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From there, two clear scenarios make sense:

Take profit after the impulse.
If the goal is to capture the “clean part” of the move, exiting right after the impulse is logical. In this case, the risk/reward stayed at no less than 1:2.

Trail with a stop.
If you want to give price room and try to capture more, you can manage the position by moving the stop into profit as the move develops. A pullback then closes you in profit without having to guess the exact top.

Trade conclusion

This example highlights the core principle of the Resonance directional approach: edge comes from evaluating volume and its impact on price.

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