BTC Market Review - December 2, 2025
In this review, we document current market conditions without attempting to predict future movement. Limit orders show a surge in buying orders with the balance shifted downward. At the peak of the decline, the price was pushed down by more than two standard deviations—a statistically anomalous movement. The heat map shows large limit volumes, partially filled both on the initial decline and on the subsequent pullback. The balance index remains within the average percentile, and anomalous volume densities are forming local support. The local minimum has not yet been updated—market sell orders have run into dense limit volumes, temporarily supporting the price.
Table of content
In this market review, we are not attempting to predict the future or predict what will happen next. Our task is to state the facts we have at the current moment. We base our actions on these facts, not on our expectations and hopes.
Limit orders (green rectangle)
Limit orders show a noticeable surge in buy orders, but the overall balance remains shifted downward.
Z-Score (price) (blue arrow)
At the peak of the decline, selling moved the price by more than two standard deviations—this is a statistically abnormal deviation.
Heatmap in Volume Mode (blue rectangle)
The heatmap shows an abnormal accumulation of limit orders by volume. These volumes were partially filled both on the initial decline and now, on the subsequent pullback.
Balance Index
The balance index is in the middle percentile zone, without a pronounced bias.
Price Dynamics
Anomalous densities in volume mode on the heat map indicate a zone of increased limit activity: the placed limit buy orders have absorbed the entire market sell volume and are now holding the price within this range.
Summary:
The local minimum remains unchanged: market sell orders have run into abnormal limit orders. The current volume of limit orders is sufficient, and the price is still holding.
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